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Geomagnetically Induced Currents: Validating Observations and Modelling in New Zealand
Doctoral Thesis   Open access

Geomagnetically Induced Currents: Validating Observations and Modelling in New Zealand

Doctor of Philosophy - PhD, University of Otago
University of Otago
2023
Handle:
https://hdl.handle.net/10523/15443

Abstract

New Zealand GIC Geomagnetically Induced Currents Space Weather
This thesis consists of a detailed study into geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) in the New Zealand power network. To estimate how geomagnetic disturbances drive GICs in the New Zealand power network, a thin-sheet model with a conductance map of New Zealand and magnetic field input was used to calculate the induced surface electric fields. A model of the New Zealand power network, down to the transformer level was constructed using data from our industry partner, Transpower. This model takes into consideration the network resistances and connections. The model was subjected to a number of network sensitivity tests to understand how important each factor is to the GIC calculations. Our GIC modelling approach was also validated against a test network from the literature. GICs were modelled for 25 geomagnetic disturbances over a 20 year period. The calculated GIC was then compared with a large dataset of GIC observations to identify aspects where the model is limited. Various scaling techniques in the frequency domain were calculated to correct for these limitations. A network scaling factor was determined from the 73 transformers with observations. This allowed modelled GIC at transformers with no measurements to be scaled along with those with observations. Using this scale factor, multiple different extreme storm scenarios with variouslatitude varying magnetic fields were modelled. These extreme storm scenarios hope to capture the worst-case geomagnetic storm that could occur in the future. Between 13% and 35% of transformers reached danger level thresholds provided by Transpower. These danger levels indicate GIC magnitudes and durations that would likely cause stress and damage to the transformer. This indicates significant impact to the New Zealand power network and suggests mitigation efforts should be undertaken. Transpower’s current mitigation method, which focuses on the lower South Island, was tested for the extreme storm scenarios previously modelled. After promising results, this mitigation method was extended to the whole power network. The GIC in New Zealand was significantly decreased for this nationwide mitigation method, however that plan was deemed unfeasible for implementation. Following this a more targeted mitigation plan, with less impact on the power distribution in New Zealand, was formulated in collaboration with Transpower. Despite significantly less network modifications, the GIC at locations of most concern was decreased by a similar amount. The total network GIC decreased by 16% and fewer transformers reached the various danger level thresholds. This new mitigation method is currently being integrated into Transpower’s official response to large geomagnetic disturbances.
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