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Impacts of within-day decision-making within a stochastic process traffic assignment model
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Impacts of within-day decision-making within a stochastic process traffic assignment model

Takamasa Iryo, David Watling and Martin Hazelton
Transportation research. Part B: methodological, Vol.211, 103490
22/05/2026
Handle:
https://hdl.handle.net/10523/51206

Abstract

Day-to-day dynamics Markov chain mixing time Markov process Stability analysis Within-day dynamics
Existing day-to-day models assume that travellers make decisions based on traffic conditions from previous days rather than those on the actual travel day. However, this approach cannot capture frequent within-day updates of travel information, significantly influencing both day-to-day and within-day dynamics. To address this, we proposed the concept of a within-day decision-making framework and developed a mathematically simple and concise Markovian-based model. Additionally, to characterise and quantify the impacts of the proposed model, we introduced three multi-faceted measures: the convergence speed towards the stationary distribution, its key characteristics, and the within-day adaptation capability, all designed to reflect the stability and resilience of the transport system. We conducted numerical experiments on the departure time choice problem in both a single-link network and the Sioux Falls network. The results clearly demonstrate the impacts of the proposed decision-making framework through the proposed measures, particularly highlighting its effects on the stability and resilience of the transport system.
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Published (Version of record) Open Access CC BY V4.0
url
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trb.2026.103490View
Published (Version of record) Open CC BY V4.0

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