Abstract
Tenure insecurity, including eviction/landlord-ended tenancy and precarious tenure, has multiple social and health consequences. International research has identified a range of risk factors for insecure tenure, many of them consistent with other housing discrimination risks. This study used a 2018 population-weighted survey to compare likelihood of landlord-instigated tenancy end and frequency of moves across social and demographic groups in Aotearoa New Zealand. Non-heterosexuals, young adults, and households with no spare bedrooms had high levels of renting, and were in precarious tenure (high mobility, highly landlord-instigated). Pacific peoples, sole parents, and people with constrained finances also had high renting levels, and were reluctant movers (lower mobility, but highly landlord-instigated). Couples, adults 25 to 44 years, and 'large urban' dwellers had mixed renting levels, but were self-mobile (high mobility, by choice). No groups were tenure secure (low mobility, less landlord-instigated). Landlord-ended tenancy risks were generally consistent with previous international research, but 'non-heterosexuals' were a newly identified at risk group. Survey data were collected when 'no cause' notice was legal. Future research could investigate whether 2021 to 2024 law changes narrowing landlords' legal reasons to end tenancies lowered the risk of landlord-ended tenancy for vulnerable groups.