Abstract
We use new paleoseismic data and lidar to reassess late Quaternary activity of the NW (northwest) Cardrona Fault, a similar to 60 km long range-bounding fault in Otago. Paleoseismic investigations of the NW Cardrona Fault were conducted in the 1980s, but findings were limited by a paucity of materials suitable for dating. Here, re-exposure and re-assessment of a 1980s trench at Macdonalds Creek provide stratigraphic evidence for two surface rupturing earthquakes on the NW Cardrona Fault. Through Optically Stimulated Luminescence dating and OxCal modelling, we estimate these earthquakes occurred at (mean +/- 2 standard deviations, sigma) 20.5 +/- 7.8 ka and 8.7 +/- 6.6 ka. The timings of these earthquakes are consistent with those proposed from re-interpretation of another 1980s trench on the NW Cardrona Fault in the Kawarau River valley, similar to 25 km farther south. The slip rate and recurrence interval derived from the Macdonalds Creek trench data are 0.13 +/- 0.05 mm/yr and 11,800 +/- 5100 years (2 sigma error) respectively. These estimates imply lower slip rates and longer earthquake recurrence intervals on the NW Cardrona Fault than previously assessed.