Abstract
Background: Neuropsychiatric symptoms in Parkinson's disease (PD) may increase dementia (PDD) risk. The predictive value of these symptoms, however, has not been compared to clinical and demographic predictors of future PDD.
Objectives: Determine if neuropsychiatric symptoms are useful markers of PDD risk.
Methods: 328 PD participants completed baseline neuropsychiatric and MDS-Task Force-Level II assessments. Of these, 202 non-demented individuals were followed-up over a four-years period to detect conversion to PDD; 51 developed PDD. ROC analysis tested associations between baseline neuropsychiatric symptoms and future PDD. The probability of developing PDD was also modeled as a function of neuropsychiatric inventory (NPI)-total score, PD Questionnaire (PDQ)-hallucinations, PDQ-anxiety, and contrasted to cognitive ability, age, and motor function. Leave-one-out information criterion was used to evaluate which models provided useful information when predicting future PDD.
Results: The PDD group experienced greater levels of neuropsychiatric symptoms compared to the non-PDD groups at baseline. Few differences were found between the PD-MCI and PD-N groups. Six neuropsychiatric measures were significantly, but weakly, associated with future PDD. The strongest was NPI-total score: AUC = 0.66 [0.57-0.75]. There was, however, no evidence it contained useful out-of-sample predictive information of future PDD (delta ELPD = 1.8 (SD 2.5)); Similar results held for PDQ-hallucinations and PDQ-anxiety. In contrast, cognitive ability (delta ELPD = 36 (SD 8)) and age (delta ELPD = 11 (SD 5)) provided useful predictive information of future PDD.
Conclusions : Cognitive ability and age strongly out-performed neuropsychiatric measures as markers of developing PDD within 4 years. Therefore, neuropsychiatric symptoms do not appear to be useful markers of PDD risk.