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Orientation in Poisson Cluster Processes via Imaginary Bispectra
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Orientation in Poisson Cluster Processes via Imaginary Bispectra

Conor Kresin, Yifu Tang, Boris Baeumer and Ting Wang
ArXiv.org
Cornell University
13/05/2026
Handle:
https://hdl.handle.net/10523/50938

Abstract

Mathematics - Statistics Theory bispectrum Poisson cluster process Hawkes process
We study what remains detectable about one-sided Poisson cluster processes after cluster orientation is erased. We construct matched reversible cluster nulls preserving intensity and the full Bartlett spectrum, showing that second-order structure alone need not identify temporal direction. For stationary Poisson branching clusters, we derive the Fourier–Stieltjes transform of the reduced third cumulant and show that, in theL¹ third-cumulant regime, a nonzero imaginary factorial bispectrum certifies orientation. We also give explicit orientation-erased nulls, reversible spectral matches for monotone Hawkes kernels, and finite-window third-order orientation contrasts.
pdf
2605.13004v1439.60 kBDownloadView
Preprint (Author's original) v1 Open Access CC BY V4.0
url
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.13004View
Preprint (Author's original) Open CC BY V4.0

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