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Spectral analysis of multivariate stationary Hawkes processes
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Spectral analysis of multivariate stationary Hawkes processes

Yifu Tang, Conor Kresin, Boris Baeumer and Ting Wang
ArXiv.org
Cornell University
11/04/2026
Handle:
https://hdl.handle.net/10523/50508

Abstract

Mathematics - Statistics Theory Statistics - Theory
We establish the asymptotic validity of frequency-domain inference for stationary multivariate Hawkes processes under mild conditions, bridging the gap between theory and application. By developing upper-bounds on the reduced cumulant measures from the cluster representation of the Hawkes processes, we prove a functional central limit theorem and, as a consequence, consistency of the Whittle estimator under stationarity alone (i.e., the spectral radius of the interactions matrixρ(\boldsymbolν{)}{<}{1} ), applicable to Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed mutual-excitation kernels. Under mild extra moment conditions, we further obtain asymptotic normality with an explicit limiting covariance in terms of second- and fourth-order cumulant spectral densities. We also propose a simple frequency-domain method to detect joint independence of subprocesses of a multivariate Hawkes process. The performance of the Whittle estimator and the test of independence are demonstrated via simulation studies.
pdf
2604.10376v1861.37 kBDownloadView
Preprint (Author's original) Open Access CC BY V4.0
url
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2604.10376View
Preprint (Author's original) Open CC BY V4.0

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