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dc.contributor.authorIrvine, Stephenen_NZ
dc.date.available2011-04-07T03:10:15Z
dc.date.copyright2004-10en_NZ
dc.identifier.citationIrvine, S. (2004, October). Evaluating the supplementary road safety package: Models that count (Dissertation, Bachelor of Commerce with Honours). Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10523/1216en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10523/1216
dc.description.abstractIn an attempt to lower the level of road trauma in New Zealand, the Land Transport Safety Authority introduced the Supplementary Road Safety Package (SRSP) in October 1995. The package consists of targeted speed and alcohol enforcement, and features graphic television advertising highlighting the consequences of unsafe driving. Over the first four years the campaign was allocated a budget of NZ$50.06 million and charged with reducing 80 fatalities, 450 serious injuries and 1600 minor injuries. Although a requirement of the package's approval was that it be thoroughly evaluated, no consistent conclusion has been drawn. Recognising the discrete and strictly positive nature of road trauma measures, this dissertation adds to the body of literature by adopting statistical modelling techniques specifically designed for the analysis of such count variables: The Poisson and Negative Binomial regression models. While the Poisson model finds a significant level effect on the number of serious injuries from the SRSP's introduction, no statistically significant effect is found using the more appropriate Negative Binomial model.en_NZ
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.subjectNew Zealanden_NZ
dc.subjectLand Transport Safety Authorityen_NZ
dc.subjectSupplementary Road Safety Packageen_NZ
dc.subjectPoisson modelen_NZ
dc.subjectNegative Binomial modelen_NZ
dc.subject.lcshHF Commerceen_NZ
dc.subject.lcshHF5601 Accountingen_NZ
dc.subject.lcshHC Economic History & Conditionsen_NZ
dc.subject.lcshHN Social history & conditions. Social problems. Social reformen_NZ
dc.subject.lcshH Social Sciences (General)en_NZ
dc.subject.lcshHB Economic Theoryen_NZ
dc.titleEvaluating the supplementary road safety package: Models that counten_NZ
dc.typeDissertationen_NZ
dc.description.versionUnpublisheden_NZ
otago.bitstream.pages41en_NZ
otago.date.accession2006-10-06en_NZ
otago.schoolEconomicsen_NZ
thesis.degree.disciplineEconomicsen_NZ
thesis.degree.nameBachelor of Commerce with Honours
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of Otagoen_NZ
thesis.degree.levelHonours Dissertationsen_NZ
otago.openaccessOpen
dc.identifier.eprints430en_NZ
otago.school.eprintsEconomicsen_NZ
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