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dc.contributor.authorBlack, Angelaen_NZ
dc.contributor.authorFraser, Patriciaen_NZ
dc.contributor.authorGroenewold, Nicolaasen_NZ
dc.date.available2011-04-07T03:19:05Z
dc.date.copyright2001-11-30en_NZ
dc.identifier.citationBlack, A., Fraser, P., & Groenewold, N. (2001, November 30). US stock prices and macroeconomic fundamentals. University of Otago Department of Finance Seminar Series. Presented at the University of Otago, Finance department, Seminar.en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10523/1539
dc.description.abstractUsing 54 years of US quarterly data and a VAR model underpinned by a theory of the relationship between stock prices and output, this paper considers the deviations of US stock prices from their fundamental value. To do this we derive the fundamental price-output ratio and the fundamental stock price under different assumptions regarding the time-variability of returns, and proceed to compare these to actual data. Despite differences between model results, all imply cyclical deviations of actual values from values warranted by the expected growth in output - these deviations being relatively large since 1996.en_NZ
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.relation.ispartofUniversity of Otago Department of Finance Seminar Seriesen_NZ
dc.relation.urihttp://www.business.otago.ac.nz/finc/research/seminars_01.htmlen_NZ
dc.subjectVAR modelen_NZ
dc.subjectstock pricesen_NZ
dc.subjectfundamental price-output ratioen_NZ
dc.subjectactual valuesen_NZ
dc.subject.lcshHF Commerceen_NZ
dc.subject.lcshHF5601 Accountingen_NZ
dc.subject.lcshHG Financeen_NZ
dc.titleUS stock prices and macroeconomic fundamentalsen_NZ
dc.typeConference or Workshop Item (Seminar, Speech or Other Presentation)en_NZ
dc.description.versionUnpublisheden_NZ
otago.bitstream.pages40en_NZ
otago.date.accession2007-04-12en_NZ
otago.schoolFinanceen_NZ
otago.openaccessOpen
otago.place.publicationDunedin, New Zealanden_NZ
dc.identifier.eprints598en_NZ
dc.description.refereedNon Peer Revieweden_NZ
otago.school.eprintsFinance & Quantitative Analysisen_NZ
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otago.event.dates30 November 2001en_NZ
otago.event.placeRoom 2.07, University of Otago, Dunedin, Otagoen_NZ
otago.event.typeotheren_NZ
otago.event.titleUniversity of Otago, Finance department, Seminaren_NZ
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