Abstract
This thesis examines, from an empirical perspective, the comparative long-term outcomes
of different tenure dynamic groups in the Housing New Zealand (HNZ) population. This study
used linked longitudinal administrative data from Statistics New Zealand’s Integrated Data
Infrastructure (IDI) from 2012 to 2017 to carry out a cohort analysis of outcomes for 75,465
primary tenants who were in HNZ tenancies from 2004 to 2008. A New Zealand typology of
public housing was created that found a large group (13,839 or 18%) of tenants repeatedly enter
and exit HNZ tenancies. This group (labelled “Churners”) have previously been overlooked in
the New Zealand research. Descriptive statistical outputs show that there is a relationship
between tenure stability and non-housing outcomes over the long-term. The key finding is that
those with the least stable tenure dynamics have comparatively poorer non-housing outcomes
than other cohort groups. The size and complexity of this group suggest that these tenants are
likely to require additional support, both to maintain their tenancies and to manage other non
housing outcomes.