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US stock prices and macroeconomic fundamentals
Using 54 years of US quarterly data and a VAR model underpinned by a theory of the relationship between stock prices and output, this paper considers the deviations of
US stock prices from their fundamental value. To do ...
House Prices, fundamentals and Inflation
This paper studies actual house prices relative to fundamental house prices. Using UK data and a time-varying present value approach, we find that deviations of house prices from their fundamental value (as warranted by ...
The UK stock market’s relationship with US and European stock markets: Is the UK stock market snuggling-up to the US - or to Europe?
Using 27 years of data this paper considers short-run, bi-lateral, and long-run, linkages between the US, UK and nine European equity markets. Using time-varying parameter and multivariate cointegration modelling techniques, ...
House prices and bubbles in New Zealand
Much of bubble literature centred on financial markets.
Dominant theory – if prices deviate from fundamental value for some time then a bubble is said to exist.
Bubbles usually characterised in three main ways:
● momentum: ...