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dc.contributor.authorFraser, Tom
dc.contributor.authorUngor, Murat
dc.date.available2019-04-11T23:35:57Z
dc.date.copyright2019-04
dc.identifier.citationFraser, T., & Ungor, M. (2019). Migration Fears, Policy Uncertainty and Economic Activity (Economics Discussion Papers Series No. 1907). University of Otago. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10523/9244en
dc.identifier.issn1178-2293
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10523/9244
dc.description.abstractMotivated by the recent European migrant crisis, Brexit, and President Trump's immigration priorities, we provide new evidence into how migration fears and migration policy uncertainty affect macroeconomic outcomes across France, Germany, the United Kingdom, and the United States. We investigate the impact of immigration-related fear and uncertainty on economic activity via vector autoregression models. Our findings indicate that both indices are associated with decreases in industrial production in all countries except Germany. Surprise increases in immigration-related fears have negative influence on unemployment rates in these four countries too. We also show that innovations in the migration related uncertainty indices do not foreshadow significant declines in output.en_NZ
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.language.isoenen_NZ
dc.publisherUniversity of Otagoen_NZ
dc.relation.ispartofseriesEconomics Discussion Papers Seriesen_NZ
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/*
dc.subjectMigration policy uncertaintyen_NZ
dc.subjectmigration fearen_NZ
dc.subjecteconomic activityen_NZ
dc.subjectVARen_NZ
dc.titleMigration Fears, Policy Uncertainty and Economic Activityen_NZ
dc.typeDiscussion Paperen_NZ
dc.date.updated2019-04-11T21:54:12Z
otago.schoolOtago Business School / Department of Economicsen_NZ
otago.openaccessOpenen_NZ
otago.relation.number1907en_NZ
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Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International
Except where otherwise noted, this item's licence is described as Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International